USDA FAS PSD data · 49 markets · 2000–2026

Where the World’s Chickens Will Hatch

Global chicken production has doubled since 2000, and the geography of that growth has shifted. This report follows 25 years of production and trade data to identify the markets building domestic poultry capacity today, and the import-dependent markets positioned to build next. It accompanies a two-page Power BI report built on the same data model.

Part 1 · The global picture

Growth has moved east

The United States, Brazil, and the European Union still account for most of the volume, but the fastest growth of the past decade has come from the Middle East and from Central and Southeast Asia.

Production growth since 2015, indexed

2015 = 100 · markets producing ≥100 kt in 2015 · click a region to expand · 2025–26 are USDA estimates

Production, million tonnes

Six largest producers · hover for values · shaded band = USDA estimate/forecast

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Part 2 · From imports to hatcheries

The localization signal

A market that cuts its import share while demand grows is building domestic capacity: hatcheries, breeder flocks, and processing plants. The chart below separates the markets making that shift now from the import-dependent markets where the same shift is likely next.

Import dependence vs. production growth, 2025

Bubble size = domestic consumption · markets consuming ≥200 kt · hover any bubble

Three markets running the localization playbook

Imports as % of consumption · each cut import dependence roughly in half in a decade while production doubled or tripled

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Localization league table

Ranked by localization signal = production CAGR + import-dependence weight · click headers to sort